Carl Bonham
Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Factor Models in the Presence of Common Trends
We analyze the forecasting performance of small mixed frequency factor models when the observed variables share stochastic trends. The indicators are observed at various frequencies and are tied together by cointegration so that valuable high frequency information is passed to low frequency series through the common factors. Diff erencing the data breaks the cointegrating link among […]
Read MoreThe Economic Impact of the University of Hawai‘i System
The University of Hawai‘i (UH) generates economic activity through its purchases from local businesses, its payment to its employees, and spending by students and visitors. This report estimates UH’s total economic activity in the state of Hawai‘i in fiscal year 2012. Following a standard approach, we define economic impact to be the direct, indirect, and […]
Read MoreShould we increase Hawaii’s minimum wage?
The following post is excerpted from UHERO’s Brief “Should we increase Hawaii’s minimum wage?” Raising the minimum wage may be one of the hottest issues of this years’ legislative session. Two bills have been introduced to increase the minimum wage and both bills also propose indexing the minimum wage so that it is adjusted for future inflation. President […]
Read MoreBrief: Should we increase Hawaii’s minimum wage?
A higher minimum wage is unlikely to accomplish the stated goal of raising the living standards of the working poor. And given Hawaii’s highly service oriented economy, the negative impact of an increased minimum wage may have a larger impact than in other states.
Read MoreTax Credit Incentives for Residential Solar Photovoltaic in Hawai‘i
Solar photovoltaic (PV) tax credits are at the center of a public debate in Hawai‘i. The controversy stems largely from unforeseen budgetary impacts, driven in part by the difference between the legislative intent and implementation of the PV tax credits. HRS 235-12.5 allows individual and corporate taxpayers to claim a 35% tax credit against Hawaii […]
Read MoreThe Contribution of the University of Hawai‘i at Manoa to Hawai‘i’s Economy in 2012
The University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa (UHM) generates economic activity through its purchases from local businesses, its payment to its employees, and spending by students and visitors. This report estimates UHM’s total economic activity in the state of Hawai‘i in fiscal year 2012. Following a standard approach, we define economic impact to be the direct, […]
Read MoreUHERO Forum to Discuss Critical Issues on Economy, Environment and Society
Check out this video of UHERO Executive Director and Professor of Economics Carl Bonham discussing what is to be expected at the inaugural UHERO Forum, which will take place on Oct. 29, 2012. It will focusing on critical issues facing the state of Hawai’i and will welcome local researchers and business leaders, as well as experts from […]
Read MoreCompassionate Deficit Reduction vs the Fiscal Cliff
Last week both the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank made big policy commitments to support the global economy (see Pacific Beat— U.S. and Europe Central Banks Announce Major Policy Changes). But monetary policy is facing an uphill battle at home and in Europe as governments implement austerity programs aimed at reducing deficits. In […]
Read MoreQ & A: Generous Tax Credit Leads to Lower Revenue Forecast
1. THE STATE COUNCIL ON REVENUES MET YESTERDAY AND LOWERED ITS PROJECTION FOR GENERAL FUND TAX REVENUES. WHATS UP WITH THAT? I THOUGHT THE TOURISM BOOM WAS ALSO GENERATING TAX REVENUE GROWTH. It is true that the boom in tourism spending and arrivals have contributed to a surge in tax revenues. Transient accommodations tax revenue […]
Read More