Housing Articles
The UHERO Housing Policy Group provides rigorous analyses to inform debates regarding housing in Hawaiʻi, with a focus on the high housing cost burdens experienced by the State’s residents. This problem is multiscalar in its origins and thus requires a bundle of analyses ranging from longitudinal portraits of the State’s housing market, to estimates of the impact of housing costs on local populations, to objective evaluations of proposed policy solutions.
The Housing Market Impacts of a New Honolulu Condo
By Justin Tyndall Housing policy discussions in Hawaiʻi often focus on how we can make newly built homes affordable. Yet new construction represents only a small share of the housing market. Most of the state’s housing stock was built in the 1970s or earlier, and only about 3% of homes have been built since 2020. […]
Read MoreThe HCRC Annual Report of Activities 2025
Thanks to the generous support of the Hawaii Community Reinvestment Corporation (HCRC), I began my appointment as the HCRC Professor in Affordable Housing Economics, Policy, and Planning in Fall 2024. This position has allowed me to maintain a nationally focused research agenda while also engaging with housing policy in Hawaii. The HCRC endowment has been […]
Read MoreThe Downmarket Impact of New Multifamily Housing: Evidence from a Honolulu Condo Tower
We test whether new condominium construction generates vacancies in a lo-cal housing market through induced moves. Using detailed address-history mi-crodata, we track households who moved into a newly built 512-unit condo-minium tower in Honolulu, Hawai’i, which included both market-rate and income-restricted units. We identify prior addresses and follow vacancy chains across multiple rounds of moves. […]
Read MoreThe Hawaii Housing Factbook 2025
By Justin Tyndall, Trey Gordner, Rachel Inafuku, JoonYup Park, Jack Driggers, and Emi Kim Hawai‘i remains in a severe housing crisis. High prices and mortgage rates have made homeownership unaffordable for most residents. Housing production remains slow, with county and state regulatory barriers posing a major obstacle to new construction. Meanwhile, shifts in the U.S. […]
Read MoreAn Economic Analysis of the Proposal to Phase Out Transient Vacation Rentals in Maui County Apartment Districts
By Carl Bonham, Steven Bond-Smith, Peter Fuleky, Justin Tyndall, Dylan Moore, Trey Gordner, Emi Kim, and Hamza Essaidi This report examines the Maui County proposal to phase out transient vacation rentals (TVRs) in Apartment districts, including removing long-standing exceptions for pre-1989 properties widely known as the “Minatoya List.” The policy aims to improve housing affordability, […]
Read MoreConstruction Defect Litigation, Housing Affordability, and Homeownership in Hawai‘i
By Trey Gordner, Justin Tyndall, Kimberly Burnett, Emi Kim, and Kaila Ronquilio Hawai‘i faces a severe housing shortage, driven by high costs and regulatory barriers that hinder new development. One emerging factor is the rise of construction liability litigation. While issues like land use constraints, infrastructure availability, and permitting delays have long been recognized as […]
Read MoreCity partners with UHERO to launch Subsidized Housing Tracker
Addressing Oʻahu’s housing shortage and its impact on affordability, the City and County of Honolulu’s Office of Housing, in partnership with the University of Hawaiʻi Economic Research Organization (UHERO), has unveiled the Subsidized Housing Explorer, a first-of-its-kind tool for the island. This interactive tracker consolidates data on government-subsidized housing units across Honolulu County, offering an […]
Read MoreA Honolulu Empty Homes Tax: Impacts on Housing Supply and County Revenue
By Justin Tyndall Honolulu faces an acute housing shortage, yet tens of thousands of homes sit empty. Bill 46 would create a new property tax that applies to empty homes. The policy aims to achieve two key objectives: (1) expand the supply of housing for local residents, and (2) generate revenue for the county. Using […]
Read MoreMaui Short-Term Rentals, the Minatoya List, and Housing Supply
By Justin Tyndall and Emi Kim Recent state legislation has given counties new powers to regulate Transient Vacation Rental (TVR) properties. A proposal on Maui would significantly reduce the number of TVRs by withdrawing permission to operate for over 7,000 properties. Below, we briefly summarize the policy proposal and discuss the characteristics of the units […]
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