Insights

Blogs

Pre-Travel Testing and Hawaii’s Daily Trans-Pacific Visitors

By James Mak and Carl Bonham The front page headline on Honolulu Star-Advertiser’s October 16 issue read: SOLID REOPENING DAY. Indeed, it was. On October 15, …

Charging Higher User Fees to Tourists at Hawaii’s State Parks

By James Mak “Ua mau ke ea o ka aina i ka pono” [1] In May 2000 the Hawaii Department of Land and Natural Resources …

Estimating economic conditions during the COVID-19 crisis

By Carl Bonham and Peter Fuleky When the long-lived expansion of the past decade was interrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, many economists turned their attention …

The August Rental Market: Struggling Tenants and Rising Vacancies

By Philip Garboden Last month, UHERO partnered with real estate groups across the state to launch a monthly survey of Hawaii’s rental property owners and …

Rooftop solar is now competitive with utility-scale power in Hawaiʻi

By Michael Roberts We need to transition away from fossil fuels quickly, and with inexpensive renewables and batteries, we can do so in a cost …

News

Congratulations to UHERO’s Timothy Halliday

Congratulations to UHERO’s Timothy Halliday on his new publication in the Journal of Public Economics, “Intergenerational mobility in self-reported health status in the US.” Halliday …

UHERO’s Carl Bonham on Island Focus television series

Watch UHERO’s Executive Director, Carl Bonham on Island Focus, a monthly half-hour television series produced by ‘Ōlelo Community Media.

UHERO partnering in Back on the Wave Oʻahu

The City and County of Honolulu and UHERO’s Ruben Juarez have developed a COVID-19 health and safety assessment for businesses in Oʻahu. Businesses, let your …

Good environmental policy requires understanding people

A forest, coral reef, rangeland or any other ecosystem does not necessarily provide the same benefits to everyone. A healthy forest can link to community …

Publication: Increasing decision relevance of ecosystem service science

Congratulations to UHERO’s Leah Bremer on her publication in Nature Sustainability. To calculate the true value of a forest, we need to know how people …

Briefs

Reopening Japanese Tourism in Hawaii: Is it Safe?

In this short policy brief, we aim to answer four questions. 1. Will Japanese tourists coming to Hawaii be COVID-19 free after taking a pre-departure …

Spatial Planning to Inform Expansion of Agroforestry for Cultural, Ecological & Economic Benefits

Agroforestry systems, along with loʻi kalo and other systems, were abundant in traditional Hawaiʻi, and there is great interest in their restoration today. This project …

The Future of Travel and Tourism After the COVID-19 Pandemic And Implications for Hawaiʻi

Shortly after the start of the coronavirus epidemic in the U.S., CNN Business ran a story with the provocative headline: “The travel industry is suffering …

Economic benefits of hydrologic services from watershed protection and restoration

Watershed protection and restoration provide a range of benefits including clean and ample water supplies, biodiversity, cultural connection to place, carbon sequestration, and a suite …

How Can the State Government Restore Fiscal Balance?

The impact of COVID-19 and the efforts taken to contain it have led to a rapid deterioration in the state’s short- and medium-term fiscal outlooks. …

Forecasts

UHERO State Forecast Update: Hawaii in early stages of recovery, then a setback

Hawaii’s COVID-19 resurgence put the brakes on a very tentative economic recovery. The further delay of the visitor industry restart and renewed strict social distancing …

UHERO Forecast with Scenario Analysis: Battered by COVID-19, Hawaii begins to reopen

The novel coronavirus crisis hit Hawaii with devastating effect. The abrupt economic shut-down, while successful in limiting the virus’s spread, has produced by far our …

Interim Forecast Update: Hawaii’s Economy is Shut Down to Deal with COVID-19

This is UHERO’s second interim forecast update to address dramatic recent developments associated with the novel coronavirus pandemic. Much has changed since the interim forecast …

Interim Forecast Update: COVID-19 Will Impose Significant Economic Impacts in Hawaii

The spread of the novel coronavirus and recent visitor falloff lead us to lower sharply our outlook for the Hawaii economy.  In the baseline forecast, …

UHERO State Forecast Update: Coronavirus Presents Danger to Hawaii Tourism

Hawaii’s economy has been on an expected slowing trend for the past several years. While visitor arrivals racked up another record year in 2019, real …

Research and Reports

Implications of a “Green Tariff” for the University of Hawai‘i, Hawaiian Electric Company, and other Customers

In June 2015 the State passed a law setting a goal for the University of Hawai‘i (UH) to produce as much renewable energy as the …

Nowcasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Recovery

I develop a weekly coincident index of economic activity in the State of Hawaii. The purpose of the index is to nowcast the recovery from …

Estimating water demand using price differences of wastewater services

Many homes in Hawai‘i use cesspools and other on-site disposal systems (OSDS) instead of the municipal sewer system. Because bills combine water and waste-water services, …

How Will Climate Change Affect Water Demand? Evidence from Hawai‘i Microclimates

The effect that climate change will have on water resource sustainability is gaining international interest, particularly in regions where stocks are strained due to changing …

Identifying priority watershed management areas for groundwater recharge protection on Hawai‘i Island

This report provides an analysis of the relative effectiveness of watershed conservation and restoration efforts in terms of groundwater recharge benefits in Hawaiʻi County Department …