Insights

Blogs

November Rental Market: Troubling Signs Remain As State Prepares for an Uncertain 2021

By Philip ME Garboden This month, UHERO completed its second quarterly survey of rental property owners and managers (the first from August 2020 can be …

Estimating COVID-19 Induced Rental Housing Hardship in 2021

By Philip ME Garboden and Isabelle Picciotto Several months ago, UHERO estimated the impact of the COVID-19 induced economic downturn on renters in 2020. Much …

Are Hawai’i Residents Staying at Home?

By Justin Tyndall and Joshua Hu Staying at home and avoiding crowded spaces is an important way for residents to help contain the spread of …

Pre-Travel Testing and Hawaii’s Daily Trans-Pacific Visitors

By James Mak and Carl Bonham The front page headline on Honolulu Star-Advertiser’s October 16 issue read: SOLID REOPENING DAY. Indeed, it was. On October 15, …

Charging Higher User Fees to Tourists at Hawaii’s State Parks

By James Mak “Ua mau ke ea o ka aina i ka pono” [1] In May 2000 the Hawaii Department of Land and Natural Resources …

News

Unique pattern of COVID-19 infection in the State of Hawai‘i

UHERO’s Sumner La Croix and coauthors published “Unique pattern of COVID-19 infection in the State of Hawai‘i” in the International Journal of Infectious Diseases, and …

Congratulations to UHERO’s Timothy Halliday

Congratulations to UHERO’s Timothy Halliday on his new publication in the Journal of Public Economics, “Intergenerational mobility in self-reported health status in the US.” Halliday …

UHERO’s Carl Bonham on Island Focus television series

Watch UHERO’s Executive Director, Carl Bonham on Island Focus, a monthly half-hour television series produced by ‘Ōlelo Community Media.

UHERO partnering in Back on the Wave Oʻahu

The City and County of Honolulu and UHERO’s Ruben Juarez have developed a COVID-19 health and safety assessment for businesses in Oʻahu. Businesses, let your …

Good environmental policy requires understanding people

A forest, coral reef, rangeland or any other ecosystem does not necessarily provide the same benefits to everyone. A healthy forest can link to community …

Briefs

The Hawaii Research Activity Tax Credit: Is It Effective and How Can It Be Improved?

In 2013, the Hawaii State Legislature enacted a tax credit for Hawaii technology firms engaged in qualified research activities satisfying requirements for the federal research …

Reopening Japanese Tourism in Hawaii: Is it Safe?

In this short policy brief, we aim to answer four questions. 1. Will Japanese tourists coming to Hawaii be COVID-19 free after taking a pre-departure …

Spatial Planning to Inform Expansion of Agroforestry for Cultural, Ecological & Economic Benefits

Agroforestry systems, along with loʻi kalo and other systems, were abundant in traditional Hawaiʻi, and there is great interest in their restoration today. This project …

The Future of Travel and Tourism After the COVID-19 Pandemic And Implications for Hawaiʻi

Shortly after the start of the coronavirus epidemic in the U.S., CNN Business ran a story with the provocative headline: “The travel industry is suffering …

Economic benefits of hydrologic services from watershed protection and restoration

Watershed protection and restoration provide a range of benefits including clean and ample water supplies, biodiversity, cultural connection to place, carbon sequestration, and a suite …

Forecasts

Annual Hawaii Forecast With Global Outlook: Mainland COVID-19 surge means a bleak winter, but vaccines promise 2021 growth

The Hawaii economy began to recover from the COVID-19 downturn by the end of the second quarter, but subsequent global waves of the pandemic have …

UHERO State Forecast Update: Hawaii in early stages of recovery, then a setback

Hawaii’s COVID-19 resurgence put the brakes on a very tentative economic recovery. The further delay of the visitor industry restart and renewed strict social distancing …

UHERO Forecast with Scenario Analysis: Battered by COVID-19, Hawaii begins to reopen

The novel coronavirus crisis hit Hawaii with devastating effect. The abrupt economic shut-down, while successful in limiting the virus’s spread, has produced by far our …

Interim Forecast Update: Hawaii’s Economy is Shut Down to Deal with COVID-19

This is UHERO’s second interim forecast update to address dramatic recent developments associated with the novel coronavirus pandemic. Much has changed since the interim forecast …

Interim Forecast Update: COVID-19 Will Impose Significant Economic Impacts in Hawaii

The spread of the novel coronavirus and recent visitor falloff lead us to lower sharply our outlook for the Hawaii economy.  In the baseline forecast, …

Research and Reports

Implications of a “Green Tariff” for the University of Hawai‘i, Hawaiian Electric Company, and other Customers

In June 2015 the State passed a law setting a goal for the University of Hawai‘i (UH) to produce as much renewable energy as the …

Nowcasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Recovery

I develop a weekly coincident index of economic activity in the State of Hawaii. The purpose of the index is to nowcast the recovery from …

Estimating water demand using price differences of wastewater services

Many homes in Hawai‘i use cesspools and other on-site disposal systems (OSDS) instead of the municipal sewer system. Because bills combine water and waste-water services, …

How Will Climate Change Affect Water Demand? Evidence from Hawai‘i Microclimates

The effect that climate change will have on water resource sustainability is gaining international interest, particularly in regions where stocks are strained due to changing …

Identifying priority watershed management areas for groundwater recharge protection on Hawai‘i Island

This report provides an analysis of the relative effectiveness of watershed conservation and restoration efforts in terms of groundwater recharge benefits in Hawaiʻi County Department …