UHERO
Justin Tyndall
A market analysis for a transfer of development rights program to facilitate sea level rise adaptation
Sea level rise (SLR) poses an immense challenge to coastal communities worldwide. In Hawaiʻi, retreat from the shoreline is necessary to preserve beach ecosystems. Transfer…
New UHERO interview with Civil Beat
UHERO’s Carl Bonham, Steven Bond-Smith, and Justin Tyndall met with Civil Beat to discuss the latest research on housing, cost of living, and the economic…
UHERO Forecast for the State of Hawaiʻi: War brings more stormy weather to Hawaii
Hawaii’s economy must weather a new storm. The Iran war has sent oil prices surging, promising to raise inflation, increase travel costs, and slow the…
The Hawai‘i Housing Factbook 2026
Research support by Chisato Tarui, Edith Prager, and Rafael Munoz Hawai‘i residents face the highest housing costs in the nation. The ongoing housing crisis threatens…
The Housing Market Impacts of a New Honolulu Condo
By Justin Tyndall Housing policy discussions in Hawaiʻi often focus on how we can make newly built homes affordable. Yet new construction represents only a…
The Downmarket Impact of New Multifamily Housing: Evidence from a Honolulu Condo Tower
We test whether new condominium construction generates vacancies in a lo-cal housing market through induced moves. Using detailed address-history mi-crodata, we track households who moved…
The Hawaii Housing Factbook 2025
Hawai‘i remains in a severe housing crisis. High prices and mortgage rates have made homeownership unaffordable for most residents. Housing production remains slow, with county…
How New Mass Transit Affects Labor Markets: The Honolulu Skyline
Understanding how the new rail system in Oahu is reshaping decisions around work, housing, and commuting can inform future transit investments. To get a more…
An Economic Analysis of the Proposal to Phase Out Transient Vacation Rentals in Maui County Apartment Districts
This report examines the Maui County proposal to phase out transient vacation rentals (TVRs) in Apartment districts, including removing long-standing exceptions for pre-1989 properties widely…