Peter Fuleky

UHERO Research Economist and Associate Professor of Economics


University of Washington, Ph.D., Economics, 2009

Florida State University, M.B.A., 2002

Czech Technical University, M.S., Civil Engineering, 1997

Research Interests

Econometrics, Times Series Analysis, Forecasting, Empirical Macroeconomics, Tourism Economics.

Peter joined UHERO in 2010 as a Postdoctoral Fellow and currently serves as a UHERO Economist and an Associate Professor of Economics. His primary research interests include applied econometrics and forecasting. Peter’s recent papers have focused on mixed frequency modeling of economic relationships and nowcasting, and he is a coauthor of UHERO’s quarterly economic forecast reports.

Selected Publications

Hirashima, A., Jones, J., Bonham, C. S., and Fuleky, P. (2017). Forecasting in a Mixed Up World: Nowcasting Hawaii Tourism. Annals of Tourism Research, 63(1):191-202.
(Working paper title: Nowcasting Tourism Industry Performance Using High Frequency Covariates)

Fuleky, P., and Ventura, L. (2016). Mean Lag in General Error Correction Models. Economics Letters, 143:107-110.

Fuleky, P., Ventura, L., and Zhao, Q. (2015). International Risk Sharing in the Short and in the Long Run under Country Heterogeneity. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 20(4):374-384.

Fuleky, P., and Bonham, C. S. (2015). Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Factor Models in the Presence of Common Trends. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 19(4):753-775.

Fuleky, P., and Zivot, E. (2014). Indirect Inference Based on the Score. Econometrics Journal, 17(3):383-393.

Fuleky, P., Zhao, Q., and Bonham, C. S. (2014). Estimating Demand Elasticities in Non-Stationary Panels. Annals of Tourism Research, 44(1):131-142.

Fuleky, P. (2012). On the Choice of the Unit Period in Time Series Models. Applied Economics Letters, 19(12):1179–82.

Honolulu cityscape

COVID-19: Developing Economic Recovery Scenarios for Hawaii

By Carl Bonham, Peter Fuleky, and Byron Gangnes A significant part of Hawaii’s economy has effectively been shut down to slow the spread of the …

UH News: UHERO fills critical need, especially during crisis


Interim Forecast Update: Hawaii’s Economy is Shut Down to Deal with COVID-19

This is UHERO’s second interim forecast update to address dramatic recent developments associated with the novel coronavirus pandemic. Much has changed since the interim forecast …