UHERO

Economy

UHERO Forecast for the State of Hawaiʻi: Hawaii moves beyond recession, but slowly

UHERO Forecast for the State of Hawaiʻi: Hawaii moves beyond recession, but slowly

February 27, 2026

By Carl S. Bonham, Byron Gangnes, Steven Bond-Smith, Peter Fuleky, Rachel Inafuku, Justin Tyndall, and Vanessa Pepino Hawaii’s economy is moving beyond last year’s mild…

Is Hawaiʻi Being Left Behind?

Is Hawaiʻi Being Left Behind?

February 19, 2026

This post focuses on a key theme from our comprehensive report, “Beyond the Price of Paradise: Is Hawaiʻi being left behind?” Across the United States,…

Beyond the price of paradise: Is Hawai‘i being left behind?

Beyond the price of paradise: Is Hawai‘i being left behind?

February 1, 2026

Hawaiʻi is one of the most desirable—and most expensive—places to live in the world. But for 23 of the past 25 years, more residents have…

UHERO Forecast for the State of Hawaiʻi: Mild recession and weak recovery in 2026

UHERO Forecast for the State of Hawaiʻi: Mild recession and weak recovery in 2026

December 12, 2025

Hawaii’s economy continues to edge into a mild recession. A tourism downturn is now underway, and job losses will occur in a number of sectors…

The Vulnerability of Hawai‘i’s Nonprofit Sector to Cuts in Federal Funding

The Vulnerability of Hawai‘i’s Nonprofit Sector to Cuts in Federal Funding

October 2, 2025

Hawai‘i’s nonprofit sector is facing budget cuts and program changes that could disrupt essential services statewide. A new analysis by UHERO and the Hawai‘i Community…

Estimating a CPI-based regional price parity index for US cities

Estimating a CPI-based regional price parity index for US cities

September 29, 2025

We use metropolitan area Consumer Price indexes (CPI) and the US CPI to calculate a CPI-based Regional Price Parity index (CPI-based RPP) for the 29…

UHERO Forecast for the State of Hawaiʻi: Deteriorating US outlook weighs on Hawaii prospects

UHERO Forecast for the State of Hawaiʻi: Deteriorating US outlook weighs on Hawaii prospects

September 26, 2025

Hawaii’s economic prospects remain poor. US trade policy is impacting key international visitor markets, and tariffs and uncertainty also weigh on the US economy. In…

Recession watch: US data is softening—Is a downturn imminent?

Recession watch: US data is softening—Is a downturn imminent?

September 6, 2025

A little less than a year ago, I published a post explaining why the US economy was clearly NOT in a recession, despite contrary claims…

Why Hawaiʻi Has Less Inequality Than You’d Think

Why Hawaiʻi Has Less Inequality Than You’d Think

August 12, 2025

Living in Hawaiʻi is expensive, and lower-income households struggle the most to make ends meet. Yet despite the high cost of living, Hawaiʻi consistently ranks…