Economy

UHERO faculty to speak at public fora

September 30, 2010

Dr. Sumner Lacroix and Dr. Carl Bonham will share their thoughts and outlook for Hawaii’s economy at two separate events on Thursday and Friday. Sumner La Croix, Professor, Dept. of Economics, and Research Fellow, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, will present a public lecture on the future of Hawaii’s economy at 7 pm on […]

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Construction Forecast: Construction Begins to Stabilize

September 23, 2010

Hawaii’s construction industry continues to seek a bottom to what has been a bruising downturn. Recent months have brought some encouraging news, but for at least the next year, the industry will find its most promising support in public sector projects.

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Technical Progress in Transport and the Tourism Area Life Cycle

September 7, 2010

Richard Butler’s tourism area life cycle envisions tourism destinations to evolve in stages from exploration to rapid growth followed by slackening, stagnation, and even decline. The eventual slow-down in tourism growth is attributed to the destinations reaching their physical and social carrying capacities. This article examines the evolution of Hawaii as a tourism destination from […]

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Why Hasn’t the US Economic Stimulus Been More Effective? The Debate on Tax and Expenditure Multipliers

July 7, 2010

Recent dissatisfaction with the impact of expenditure stimulus on economic activity in the United States, along with the results of academic research, have once again raised questions about the effectiveness of fiscal stimulus policies and about whether stimulus to a recessionary economy should be in the form of tax cuts or expenditure increases. This paper considers […]

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Insights on PBS: Reforming Wall Street

June 30, 2010

UHERO Research Fellow Professor Sumner LaCroix will join Gary Fujitani, Dominic Griffin III, Matt Pippin and moderator Dan Boylan to discuss financial market reform. Live: Thursday July 8, 2010 at 7:30 PM

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County Economic Forecast: Counties Begin Recovery After Record Downturn

June 11, 2010

Recovery will take hold across Hawai’i’s four counties during 2010.  Visitor numbers have stabilized and will gradually improve as growth strengthens in major tourism markets.  After record-setting job losses, limited net hiring will begin this year, building as we move into 2011 and 2012.  Private construction is bottoming out, and the sector will begin to […]

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Limits to Growth: Tourism and Regional Labor Migration

June 7, 2010

The paper provides a methodology for considering the carrying capacity and limits to growth of a labor-constrained mature tourism destination. A computable general equilibrium model is used to examine the impacts of visitor expenditure growth and labor migration on Hawaii’s economy. Impacts on regional income, welfare, prices, sector-level output, and gross state product are considered […]

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UHERO Hawai’i Outlook: Hawai’i Recovery Takes Hold

March 26, 2010

Hawai’i’s economic recovery has begun. Employment is stabilizing, and many sectors will begin to add modest numbers of jobs as the year progresses. While growth is resuming, the pace of recovery will be slow, constrained by tepid U.S. consumer spending and the drag from the State and local fiscal conditions. As a result, unemployment will […]

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Global Production Networks in Electronics and Intra-Asian trade

March 7, 2010

The growth of East Asia’s intra-regional trade is driven largely by increased component trade within global electronics production networks. Data on both electronics trade and production elucidate a pattern of specialization in which upper- and middle-income countries produce sophisticated components and lower-income countries assemble lower- value-added final goods. There is evidence of increasing sophistication within […]

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