Reopening Japanese Tourism in Hawaii: Is it Safe?

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In this short policy brief, we aim to answer four questions. 1. Will Japanese tourists coming to Hawaii be COVID-19 free after taking a pre-departure PCR test? 2. Are some Japanese tourists likely to be infected in Hawaii and bring COVID-19 back to Japan? 3. Will the combination of a pre-departure test and a quarantine upon return to Japan lead to a substantial resumption of tourism to Hawaii? 4. What are the potential pitfalls and risks from reopening Japanese tourism?

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2 thoughts on “Reopening Japanese Tourism in Hawaii: Is it Safe?”

  1. Great follow-up to your observations over the summer about the possibilities opened up by rapid-testing. Oahu already had to tamp down a second wave of coronavirus transmission in late-summer. A risk is that America’s third regional Covid wave in the North Central states, from Wisconsin to Idaho, centered on the Dakotas (> 1,000 daily new COVID-19 cases/million persons in late-October) could complicate rehabilitation of Hawaii’s reputation as a safe destination. With Free-Range mainland travel restored (albeit under a testing protocol) Oahu’s role as The Gathering Place for East Asians, as well, requires vigilance. Your update is a reminder how important it is to get this right the first time. Reputations are hard to rebuild.

  2. Nice summary. One quick question – why did you opt to reference IHME vs others? Since this is the internet let me be clear that this isn’t a leading question toward criticism, I’m just always curious about the “why’s” behind model selection. Mahalos.

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