UHERO Forecast for the State of Hawaiʻi: Outlook more uncertain as federal policy changes loom

Economy, Forecasts

Hawaii’s economic expansion continues, but slowly. Now the incoming Trump Administration introduces uncertainty. Under the assumption of policy changes that are sharp but limited in scope, we will see a short-term boost to tourism and local incomes, but medium-term supply side challenges and an uptick in inflation. Maui rebuilding will add to already-buoyant construction, even as home affordability woes continue.

Cover thumbnail of the 24Q4 Forecast report

UHERO Executive Director Carl Bonham provides a summary of the 2024 fourth quarter forecast report in this episode of “UHERO Focus.”