Peter Fuleky

Waikiki Beach

Interim Forecast Update: COVID-19 Will Impose Significant Economic Impacts in Hawaii

The spread of the novel coronavirus and recent visitor falloff lead us to lower sharply …

Peter Fuleky and Philip Garboden Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data

Just Published: “Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data”

By Peter Fuleky Big data analysis has a long history in macroeconomics. In 1937, National …

Per capita personal income for Hawaii and the US

Little relief from Hawaii’s high cost of living

By Rachel Inafuku and Peter Fuleky Living in paradise comes at a cost. Hawaii is notorious …

Dynamic Factor Models

Dynamic factor models are parsimonious representations of relationships among time series variables. With the surge …

Trade Restrictions

Tariff Peril

By Byron Gangnes, Peter Fuleky, and Carl Bonham In a Sunday Tweet, President Trump threatened …

Benchmarked job growth

Benchmarking for a clearer employment picture

By Peter Fuleky, James Jones, Ashley Hirashima, and Rachel Inafuku The most widely cited measure …

UHERO wins 2016 Polzin Prize for Best Paper at AUBER Fall Conference

UHERO is proud to announce that  “Forecasting in a Mixed Up World: Nowcasting Hawaii Tourism” by …

corporate bond rate, mortgage rate, and federal funds rate

Is Fed Liftoff a Big Deal?

By Peter Fuleky The Federal Reserve is poised to raise interest rates, but whether the …

Honolulu median home price and affordable home price for families earning the median household income

Gauging Home Affordability: The Challenge

By Peter Fuleky At a time of dwindling inventory and rising prices, housing affordability has …