Peter Fuleky

Forecasting in a Mixed Up World: Nowcasting Hawaii Tourism

We evaluate the short term forecasting performance of methods that systematically incorporate high frequency information …

business sector labor productivity

Are We in a Low-Growth World?

By Peter Fuleky The economic rebound from the bottom of the Great Recession was less …

Flying to Hawaii: Comparing the cost and frequency across states

The UHERO Dashboard Project | Flying to Hawaii: Comparing the Cost and Frequency Across States

By James Jones and Peter Fuleky The latest installment in the UHERO dashboard project is …

Economic Confidence Index January 2013 - October 2013

Now and Later: The Impact of the Government Shutdown

By Peter Fuleky There are about 34,000 civilian federal jobs in Hawaii, a fraction of …

Common correlated effects and international risk sharing

Correct assessment of consumption risk and its international diversification has important policy implications. However, existing …

Estimating Demand Elasticities in Non-Stationary Panels: The Case of Hawai‘i Tourism

It is natural to turn to the richness of panel data to improve the precision …

Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Factor Models in the Presence of Common Trends

We analyze the forecasting performance of small mixed frequency factor models when the observed variables …

Are lodging costs starting to tame the tourist boom?

The latest visitor highlights from the Hawaii Tourism Authority (HTA) show that both visitor arrivals …

Latest Jobs Report Suggests Most Industries Recovering

Although slightly slower than in the second half of last year, conditions in the local …