Peter Fuleky
Nowcasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Recovery:
The Weekly UHERO Economic Pulse
By Peter Fuleky COVID-19 has brought the longest period of economic expansion in modern history …
Nowcasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Recovery
I develop a weekly coincident index of economic activity in the State of Hawaii. The …
Multipliers and the effectiveness of government policies
By Byron Gangnes, Rachel Inafuku, and Peter Fuleky The economic shutdown in Hawaii and elsewhere …
COVID-19: Developing Economic Recovery Scenarios for Hawaii
By Carl Bonham, Peter Fuleky, and Byron Gangnes A significant part of Hawaii’s economy has …
Interim Forecast Update: Hawaii’s Economy is Shut Down to Deal with COVID-19
This is UHERO’s second interim forecast update to address dramatic recent developments associated with the …
The Agony of Restaurant Workers
Social distancing is necessary to slow the spread of COVID-19, but has significant economic impacts, hitting dine-in eateries disproportionately hard.
Interim Forecast Update: COVID-19 Will Impose Significant Economic Impacts in Hawaii
The spread of the novel coronavirus and recent visitor falloff lead us to lower sharply …
Just Published: “Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data”
By Peter Fuleky Big data analysis has a long history in macroeconomics. In 1937, National …