Peter Fuleky

Honolulu cityscape

COVID-19: Developing Economic Recovery Scenarios for Hawaii

By Carl Bonham, Peter Fuleky, and Byron Gangnes A significant part of Hawaii’s economy has …

UH News: UHERO fills critical need, especially during crisis


Interim Forecast Update: Hawaii’s Economy is Shut Down to Deal with COVID-19

This is UHERO’s second interim forecast update to address dramatic recent developments associated with the …

Empty restaurant

The Agony of Restaurant Workers

Social distancing is necessary to slow the spread of COVID-19, but has significant economic impacts, hitting dine-in eateries disproportionately hard.

Interim Forecast Update: COVID-19 Will Impose Significant Economic Impacts in Hawaii

The spread of the novel coronavirus and recent visitor falloff lead us to lower sharply …

Peter Fuleky and Philip Garboden Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data

Just Published: “Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data”

By Peter Fuleky Big data analysis has a long history in macroeconomics. In 1937, National …

Per capita personal income for Hawaii and the US

Little relief from Hawaii’s high cost of living

By Rachel Inafuku and Peter Fuleky Living in paradise comes at a cost. Hawaii is notorious …

Dynamic Factor Models

Dynamic factor models are parsimonious representations of relationships among time series variables. With the surge …

Trade Restrictions

Tariff Peril

By Byron Gangnes, Peter Fuleky, and Carl Bonham In a Sunday Tweet, President Trump threatened …