Peter Fuleky
COVID-19: Developing Economic Recovery Scenarios for Hawaii
By Carl Bonham, Peter Fuleky, and Byron Gangnes A significant part of Hawaii’s economy has …
Interim Forecast Update: Hawaii’s Economy is Shut Down to Deal with COVID-19
This is UHERO’s second interim forecast update to address dramatic recent developments associated with the …
The Agony of Restaurant Workers
Social distancing is necessary to slow the spread of COVID-19, but has significant economic impacts, hitting dine-in eateries disproportionately hard.
Interim Forecast Update: COVID-19 Will Impose Significant Economic Impacts in Hawaii
The spread of the novel coronavirus and recent visitor falloff lead us to lower sharply …
Just Published: “Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data”
By Peter Fuleky Big data analysis has a long history in macroeconomics. In 1937, National …
Little relief from Hawaii’s high cost of living
By Rachel Inafuku and Peter Fuleky Living in paradise comes at a cost. Hawaii is notorious …
Dynamic Factor Models
Dynamic factor models are parsimonious representations of relationships among time series variables. With the surge …
Tariff Peril
By Byron Gangnes, Peter Fuleky, and Carl Bonham In a Sunday Tweet, President Trump threatened …