An update to original state-level survey results: https://uhero.hawaii.edu/covid-19s-uneven-impact-on-businesses-and-workers-results-from-a-uhero-chamber-of-commerce-hawaii-survey/
The attached tables represent a county-by-county breakdown of the key statistics summarized in last week’s statewide analysis of the UHERO / Chamber of Commerce small business survey. Each table is weighted relative to the number of businesses in each sector in each county.
The take home is clear – businesses in Hawaii, Maui, and Kauai Counties are doing worse than those in Honolulu in nearly every respect. To take just one stark example, the total job reductions between January and April in Honolulu county were 34% of full-time jobs and 41% of part-time. These numbers were much higher on Hawaii (50% and 67%), Maui (69% and 68%), and Kaui (56% and 62%).
Our data only shows the what, not the why, but the one significant factor is that the outer island economies are more reliant on tourism than those on Oahu, who have the benefit of serving a larger resident population.
A word of caution. As with any dataset, the more it is subdivided, the less reliable any specific number becomes. We have removed any numbers based on fewer than five responses, but those that are reported have high margins of error. This is particularly true for the tables on Maui County, from which we received the fewest survey responses.
Job Losses By Category (Download Job Losses By Category XLS)
| Job Losses by Category, State of Hawaii |
| Percentage of Category Lost, Jan to April 2020 |
| Full Time | 41.69% |
| Part Time | 51.43% |
| Full Time by Salary |
| less $30k | 30.82% |
| $30 to 50k | 35.04% |
| $50 to 100k | 30.50% |
| $100 to 200k | 28.38% |
| $200 or more | 22.41% |
| Note: While rare, some changes may reflect movement between categories rather than job eliminations. |
| Job Losses by Category, Honolulu County |
| Percentage of Category Lost, Jan to April 2020 |
| Full Time | 34.20% |
| Part Time | 40.74% |
| Full Time by Salary |
| less $30k | 40.99% |
| $30 to 50k | 28.54% |
| $50 to 100k | 20.17% |
| $100 to 200k | 9.72% |
| $200 or more | 8.36% |
| Note: While rare, some changes may reflect movement between categories rather than job eliminations. |
| Job Losses by Category, Hawaii County |
| Percentage of Category Lost, Jan to April 2020 |
| Full Time | 50.47% |
| Part Time | 66.71% |
| Full Time by Salary |
| less $30k | 49.38% |
| $30 to 50k | 37.92% |
| $50 to 100k | 39.95% |
| $100 to 200k | 28.52% |
| $200 or more | 35.10% |
| Note: While rare, some changes may reflect movement between categories rather than job eliminations. |
| Job Losses by Category, Maui County |
| Percentage of Category Lost, Jan to April 2020 |
| Full Time | 69.44% |
| Part Time | 67.91% |
| Full Time by Salary |
| less $30k | 65.97% |
| $30 to 50k | 67.84% |
| $50 to 100k | 53.85% |
| $100 to 200k | 46.85% |
| $200 or more | — |
| Note: While rare, some changes may reflect movement between categories rather than job eliminations. |
| Job Losses by Category, Kaui County |
| Percentage of Category Lost, Jan to April 2020 |
| Full Time | 56.24% |
| Part Time | 61.52% |
| Full Time by Salary |
| less $30k | 25.89% |
| $30 to 50k | 47.43% |
| $50 to 100k | 55.47% |
| $100 to 200k | 56.86% |
| $200 or more | — |
| Note: While rare, some changes may reflect movement between categories rather than job eliminations. |
Current State of Business (Download Current State of Business XLS)
| Current State of Business, State of Hawaii |
| Percent |
| My business has remained open and required no adjustments | 4.84% |
| My business has remained open with distancing adjustments | 37.32% |
| My business has switched to another service delivery mode | 21.73% |
| My business is completely shut down | 36.10% |
| Current State of Business, County of Honolulu |
| Percent |
| My business has remained open and required no adjustments | 5.67% |
| My business has remained open with distancing adjustments | 45.19% |
| My business has switched to another service delivery mode | 24.95% |
| My business is completely shut down | 24.19% |
| Current State of Business, Hawaii County |
| Percent |
| My business has remained open and required no adjustments | 15.85% |
| My business has remained open with distancing adjustments | 34.01% |
| My business has switched to another service delivery mode | 14.32% |
| My business is completely shut down | 35.82% |
| Current State of Business, Maui County |
| Percent |
| My business has remained open and required no adjustments | 1.01% |
| My business has remained open with distancing adjustments | 36.09% |
| My business has switched to another service delivery mode | 5.71% |
| My business is completely shut down | 57.19% |
| Current State of Business, Kauai County |
| Percent |
| My business has remained open and required no adjustments | 3.38% |
| My business has remained open with distancing adjustments | 36.23% |
| My business has switched to another service delivery mode | 16.86% |
| My business is completely shut down | 43.54% |
Business Outlook (Download Business Outlook XLS)
| Business Outlook, State of Hawaii |
| Percent |
| I anticipate more staff cuts and other reductions. | 31.06% |
| I do not believe my business will survive. | 25.94% |
| I have already made the reductions necessary to survive. | 38.77% |
| My business is not impacted by the crisis in a negative way. | 4.23% |
| Business Outlook, County of Honolulu |
| Percent |
| I anticipate more staff cuts and other reductions. | 47.26% |
| I do not believe my business will survive. | 22.10% |
| I have already made the reductions necessary to survive. | 21.84% |
| My business is not impacted by the crisis in a negative way. | 8.80% |
| Business Outlook, Hawaii County |
| Percent |
| I anticipate more staff cuts and other reductions. | 27.02% |
| I do not believe my business will survive. | 25.35% |
| I have already made the reductions necessary to survive. | 39.01% |
| My business is not impacted by the crisis in a negative way. | 8.62% |
| Business Outlook, State of Maui |
| Percent |
| I anticipate more staff cuts and other reductions. | 29.14% |
| I do not believe my business will survive. | 47.67% |
| I have already made the reductions necessary to survive. | 22.27% |
| My business is not impacted by the crisis in a negative way. | 0.92% |
| Business Outlook, State of Kauai |
| Percent |
| I anticipate more staff cuts and other reductions. | 30.65% |
| I do not believe my business will survive. | 26.20% |
| I have already made the reductions necessary to survive. | 35.97% |
| My business is not impacted by the crisis in a negative way. | 7.18% |
Plan When Shutdown Is Lifted (Download Plan When Shutdown Is Lifted XLS)
| Plan When Shutdown Is Lifted, State of Hawaii |
| Percent |
| operating with a reduced staff until tourism returns | 34.31% |
| remaining closed indefinitely | 7.38% |
| remaining closed until tourism returns | 6.37% |
| returning to normal business hours and staffing immediately | 51.94% |
| Plan When Shutdown Is Lifted, County of Honolulu |
| Percent |
| operating with a reduced staff until tourism returns | 25.57% |
| remaining closed indefinitely | 1.65% |
| remaining closed until tourism returns | 4.85% |
| returning to normal business hours and staffing immediately | 67.94% |
| Plan When Shutdown Is Lifted, Hawaii County |
| Percent |
| operating with a reduced staff until tourism returns | 40.62% |
| remaining closed indefinitely | 4.39% |
| remaining closed until tourism returns | 9.40% |
| returning to normal business hours and staffing immediately | 45.59% |
| Plan When Shutdown Is Lifted, Maui County |
| Percent |
| operating with a reduced staff until tourism returns | 27.16% |
| remaining closed indefinitely | 6.34% |
| remaining closed until tourism returns | 12.45% |
| returning to normal business hours and staffing immediately | 54.06% |
| Plan When Shutdown Is Lifted, Kauai County |
| Percent |
| operating with a reduced staff until tourism returns | 45.09% |
| remaining closed indefinitely | 0.97% |
| remaining closed until tourism returns | 11.10% |
| returning to normal business hours and staffing immediately | 42.84% |
Change in Monthly Revenue Jan to Apr (Download Change in Monthly Revenue Jan to Apr XLS)
| Change in Monthly Revenue Jan to Apr, State of Hawaii |
| Percent |
| Down < 10% | 5.36% |
| Down 10-30% | 12.17% |
| Down 30-50% | 8.89% |
| Down 50-70% | 17.62% |
| Down 70-90% | 14.27% |
| Down 90-100% (no revenue coming in) | 34.03% |
| Increase in revenue. | 0.83% |
| No change in revenue. | 6.84% |
| Change in Monthly Revenue Jan to Apr, County of Honolulu |
| Percent |
| Down < 10% | 10.69% |
| Down 10-30% | 12.56% |
| Down 30-50% | 12.84% |
| Down 50-70% | 11.70% |
| Down 70-90% | 11.90% |
| Down 90-100% (no revenue coming in) | 31.33% |
| Increase in revenue. | 0.31% |
| No change in revenue. | 8.67% |
| Change in Monthly Revenue Jan to Apr, Hawaii County |
| Percent |
| Down < 10% | 0.54% |
| Down 10-30% | 13.17% |
| Down 30-50% | 10.33% |
| Down 50-70% | 20.74% |
| Down 70-90% | 11.62% |
| Down 90-100% (no revenue coming in) | 37.85% |
| Increase in revenue. | 1.45% |
| No change in revenue. | 4.31% |
| Change in Monthly Revenue Jan to Apr, Maui County |
| Percent |
| Down < 10% | 1.85% |
| Down 10-30% | 1.06% |
| Down 30-50% | 10.39% |
| Down 50-70% | 14.25% |
| Down 70-90% | 8.36% |
| Down 90-100% (no revenue coming in) | 61.46% |
| Increase in revenue. | 0.00% |
| No change in revenue. | 2.63% |
| Change in Monthly Revenue Jan to Apr, Kauai County |
| Percent |
| Down < 10% | 4.85% |
| Down 10-30% | 11.64% |
| Down 30-50% | 8.95% |
| Down 50-70% | 12.25% |
| Down 70-90% | 17.80% |
| Down 90-100% (no revenue coming in) | 38.16% |
| Increase in revenue. | 1.97% |
| No change in revenue. | 4.39% |
Job Losses and Projected Revenue Changes by Sector (Download Job Losses and Projected Revenue Changes by Sector XLS)
| Job Losses and Projected Revenue Changes by Sector, State of Hawaii |
| | | Full Time Employees | | Revenue |
| Percent of Revenue from Tourism | | January, 2020 | Change Jan to April | % Change | | 2019 (Mean) | Anticipated Change 2020 | % Change |
| Accommodation | 90.88% | | 8,268 | -6,369 | -77.03% | | $2,139,409 | -$1,049,091 | -49.04% |
| Administrative and support and waste management | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting | 4.92% | | 4,745 | -991 | -20.89% | | $2,385,298 | -$401,047 | -16.81% |
| Arts, entertainment, and recreation | 89.80% | | 8,823 | -7,269 | -82.39% | | $2,015,843 | -$1,306,040 | -64.79% |
| Construction | 9.74% | | 34,366 | -9,326 | -27.14% | | $6,349,500 | -$178,731 | -2.81% |
| Educational services | 0.83% | | 13,240 | -7,129 | -53.85% | | $2,031,167 | -$825,000 | -40.62% |
| Finance and insurance | 23.41% | | 15,950 | -102 | -0.64% | | $8,574,861 | -$1,199,361 | -13.99% |
| Food services | 38.93% | | 77,187 | -42,041 | -54.47% | | $4,981,919 | -$2,134,973 | -42.85% |
| Industries not classified | 58.91% | | 1,285 | -550 | -42.75% | | $1,551,752 | -$693,836 | -44.71% |
| Information | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Management of companies and enterprises | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Manufacturing | 36.19% | | 13,073 | -6,081 | -46.52% | | $17,750,992 | -$5,432,462 | -30.60% |
| Other services (except public administration) | 43.48% | | 12,092 | -7,370 | -60.95% | | $2,998,851 | -$1,215,716 | -40.54% |
| Professional, scientific, and technical services | 10.69% | | 19,826 | -1,897 | -9.57% | | $1,447,861 | -$281,891 | -19.47% |
| Real estate and rental and leasing | 23.70% | | 10,903 | -2,044 | -18.75% | | $869,842 | -$214,763 | -24.69% |
| Retail trade | 66.99% | | 58,760 | -45,012 | -76.60% | | $3,600,375 | -$1,502,469 | -41.73% |
| Transportation and warehousing | 20.48% | | 28,562 | -1,654 | -5.79% | | $7,599,416 | -$2,409,262 | -31.70% |
| Utilities | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Wholesale trade | 60.31% | | 16,364 | -4,576 | -27.96% | | $4,866,750 | -$1,456,125 | -29.92% |
| Note: Sectors with fewer than five responses have been removed. |
| Job Losses and Projected Revenue Changes by Sector, County of Honolulu |
| | | Full Time Employees | | Revenue |
| Percent of Revenue from Tourism | | January, 2020 | Change Jan to April | % Change | | 2019 (Mean) | Anticipated Change 2020 | % Change |
| Accommodation | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Administrative and support and waste management | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Arts, entertainment, and recreation | 86.89% | | 6,597.50 | -4,732.00 | -71.72% | | $2,148,438 | -$1,354,925 | -63.07% |
| Construction | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Educational services | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Finance and insurance | 23.60% | | 13,530.53 | -33.49 | -0.25% | | $25,229,167 | -$3,583,333 | -14.20% |
| Food services | 25.13% | | 55,599.56 | -28,484.60 | -51.23% | | $8,890,063 | -$3,309,154 | -37.22% |
| Industries not classified | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Information | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Management of companies and enterprises | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Manufacturing | 35.39% | | 10,377.69 | -4,677.27 | -45.07% | | $28,944,186 | -$9,218,186 | -31.85% |
| Other services (except public administration) | 28.18% | | 7,210.80 | -2,284.61 | -31.68% | | $5,745,423 | -$1,652,423 | -28.76% |
| Professional, scientific, and technical services | 10.49% | | 16,484.20 | -1,381.79 | -8.38% | | $2,183,101 | -$410,565 | -18.81% |
| Real estate and rental and leasing | 12.98% | | 4,639.14 | -552.28 | -11.90% | | $1,533,500 | -$184,200 | -12.01% |
| Retail trade | 67.78% | | 39,651.27 | -30,850.00 | -77.80% | | $8,565,833 | -$3,715,833 | -43.38% |
| Transportation and warehousing | 15.23% | | 20,954.47 | -629.68 | -3.01% | | $16,780,000 | -$5,020,000 | -29.92% |
| Utilities | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Wholesale trade | 59.84% | | 12,469.05 | -5,296.00 | -42.47% | | $6,383,167 | -$1,893,167 | -29.66% |
| Note: Sectors with fewer than five responses have been removed. |
| Job Losses and Projected Revenue Changes by Sector, Hawaii County |
| | | Full Time Employees | | Revenue |
| Percent of Revenue from Tourism | | January, 2020 | Change Jan to April | % Change | | 2019 (Mean) | Anticipated Change 2020 | % Change |
| Accommodation | 98.98% | | 673 | -204 | -30.30% | | $448,222 | -$183,556 | -40.95% |
| Administrative and support and waste management | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting | 25.58% | | 1,771 | -529 | -29.89% | | $892,000 | -$327,625 | -36.73% |
| Arts, entertainment, and recreation | 90.22% | | 1,137 | -1,063 | -93.44% | | $2,174,167 | -$1,436,000 | -66.05% |
| Construction | 33.67% | | 3,031 | -587 | -19.35% | | $1,888,700 | -$384,700 | -20.37% |
| Educational services | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Finance and insurance | 16.05% | | 1,149 | -203 | -17.65% | | $349,000 | -$7,000 | -2.01% |
| Food services | 65.13% | | 5,980 | -5,367 | -89.76% | | $2,838,142 | -$1,479,006 | -52.11% |
| Industries not classified | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Information | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Management of companies and enterprises | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Manufacturing | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Other services (except public administration) | 30.33% | | 1,963 | -1,596 | -81.29% | | $592,800 | -$172,200 | -29.05% |
| Professional, scientific, and technical services | 6.45% | | 1,333 | -164 | -12.33% | | $327,466 | -$39,052 | -11.93% |
| Real estate and rental and leasing | 32.73% | | 1,124 | -302 | -26.92% | | $729,643 | -$350,357 | -48.02% |
| Retail trade | 54.20% | | 6,083 | -1,562 | -25.68% | | $746,750 | -$205,995 | -27.59% |
| Transportation and warehousing | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Utilities | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Wholesale trade | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Note: Sectors with fewer than five responses have been removed. |
| Job Losses and Projected Revenue Changes by Sector, Maui County |
| | | Full Time Employees | | Revenue |
| Percent of Revenue from Tourism | | January, 2020 | Change Jan to April | % Change | | 2019 (Mean) | Anticipated Change 2020 | % Change |
| Accommodation | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Administrative and support and waste management | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Arts, entertainment, and recreation | 98.13% | | 1,681 | -1,134 | -67.49% | | $4,726,750 | -$3,536,750 | -74.82% |
| Construction | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Educational services | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Finance and insurance | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Food services | 81.21% | | 14,899 | -14,463 | -97.07% | | $2,975,757 | -$1,892,896 | -63.61% |
| Industries not classified | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Information | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Management of companies and enterprises | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Manufacturing | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Other services (except public administration) | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Professional, scientific, and technical services | 6.07% | | 1,268 | -158 | -12.50% | | $466,500 | -$122,917 | -26.35% |
| Real estate and rental and leasing | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Retail trade | 69.73% | | 8,151 | -5,774 | -70.83% | | $1,414,667 | -$554,667 | -39.21% |
| Transportation and warehousing | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Utilities | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Wholesale trade | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Note: Sectors with fewer than five responses have been removed. |
| Job Losses and Projected Revenue Changes by Sector, Kauai County |
| | | Full Time Employees | | Revenue |
| Percent of Revenue from Tourism | | January, 2020 | Change Jan to April | % Change | | 2019 (Mean) | Anticipated Change 2020 | % Change |
| Accommodation | 89.23% | | 3225 | -2,780 | -86.21% | | $4,193,111 | -$2,043,889 | -48.74% |
| Administrative and support and waste management | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Arts, entertainment, and recreation | 85.03% | | 658 | -521 | -79.19% | | $1,259,706 | -$712,294 | -56.54% |
| Construction | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Educational services | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Finance and insurance | 12.08% | | 333 | -33 | -10.00% | | $175,357 | -$7,643 | -4.36% |
| Food services | 71.03% | | 3,304 | -2,097 | -63.46% | | $1,560,500 | -$894,793 | -57.34% |
| Industries not classified | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Information | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Management of companies and enterprises | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Manufacturing | 58.19% | | 316 | -49 | -15.56% | | $1,656,250 | -$842,500 | -50.87% |
| Other services (except public administration) | 83.09% | | 893 | -748 | -83.77% | | $2,389,917 | -$1,723,167 | -72.10% |
| Professional, scientific, and technical services | 24.73% | | 600 | -130 | -21.62% | | $729,667 | -$289,833 | -39.72% |
| Real estate and rental and leasing | 34.20% | | 663 | -147 | -22.22% | | $526,667 | -$121,111 | -23.00% |
| Retail trade | 58.19% | | 2,725 | -2,482 | -91.07% | | $865,800 | -$297,600 | -34.37% |
| Transportation and warehousing | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Utilities | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Wholesale trade | — | | — | — | — | | — | — | — |
| Note: Sectors with fewer than five responses have been removed. |
BLOG POSTS ARE PRELIMINARY MATERIALS CIRCULATED TO STIMULATE DISCUSSION AND CRITICAL COMMENT. THE VIEWS EXPRESSED ARE THOSE OF THE INDIVIDUAL AUTHORS. WHILE BLOG POSTS BENEFIT FROM ACTIVE UHERO DISCUSSION, THEY HAVE NOT UNDERGONE FORMAL ACADEMIC PEER REVIEW.
