Tariff Peril
By Byron Gangnes, Peter Fuleky, and Carl Bonham In a Sunday Tweet, President Trump threatened this week to increase dramatically the tariffs he has placed
May 8, 2019
Byron Gangnes
What will we get with Trump?
By Byron Gangnes The unexpected election of Donald Trump has thrown a monkey wrench into forecasting the US and global economy. During the Presidential race,
January 12, 2017
Global Value Chains and Changing Trade Elasticities
The trade collapse of 2008-2009 and the anemic trade growth since then raise the question of whether trade elasticities may be undergoing fundamental structural change.
September 14, 2016
Global Value Chains and Trade Elasticities
Previous studies have argued that global value chains (GVCs) have increased the sensitivity of trade to external business cycle shocks. This may occur either because
February 4, 2014
Yellen: How The Fed Will Know When To Stop
Federal Reserve Board Vice Chair Janet Yellen has laid out the argument for continued Fed action and the conditions the Fed will watch when deciding
March 13, 2013
Robust Hope for Housing
The US housing market turned the corner in 2012 and is set for healthy expansion for the next several years. This according to economists at the
March 11, 2013
Economists Debate How Quick to Cut
At the start of the first post-sequester week, economists at the annual policy conference of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) in Washington D.C. debated options
March 5, 2013
UHERO Forecast Director Named Economics Department Chair
UHERO congratulates Forecast Project Director, Byron Gangnes for his appointment as the Chair of the Economics Department at the University of Hawaii, Manoa. Dr. Gangnes will serve
December 7, 2011
Q&A: UHERO Forecast Update Released Today
1. UHERO RELEASED THE FOURTH QUARTER UPDATE TO ITS HAWAII FORECAST THIS MORNING. THE TITLE IS “HAWAII IN PAUSE MODE.” WHAT DO YOU MEAN BY
November 4, 2011